Gelbison vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 0
AMK
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SSM
1 - 1
GEL
41%
25%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 0
HYR
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
3 - 0
GEL
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GEL
3 - 2
REA
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VNZ
5 - 1
TAR
36%
25%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TAR
3 - 0
ARM
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
TAR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 1
FRA
69%
20%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
TAR
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |