Gelbison vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
GEL
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 3
DTO
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
FIA
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 2
GEL
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 1
SAR
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
SAR
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 0
AGR
32%
25%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BIS
3 - 2
SAR
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |