Gelbison vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SSM
2 - 2
GEL
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 0
TRA
37%
27%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 1
GEL
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
0 - 1
CYN
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
3 - 5
NAR
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SSE
4 - 0
CSV
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
SSE
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
MDC
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 0
SSE
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SSE
6 - 3
AGR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |