Gelbison vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
GEL
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 2
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 2
GEL
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
6 - 0
GEL
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 1
REG
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
REG
4 - 3
PAL
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
REG
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |