Gelbison vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASP
2 - 0
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
USV
80%
13%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
NOC
2 - 1
ISC
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 1
NOC
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
NOC
3 - 0
COS
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SSC
1 - 2
NOC
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NOC
1 - 0
FCC
24%
31%
46%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +3 |