Gelbison vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POM
3 - 1
GEL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 2
ASF
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ACC
1 - 0
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
GEL
2 - 1
USB
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MAT
0 - 1
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCT
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
POM
1 - 0
MAT
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |