Gelbison vs Leonfortese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 1
GEL
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 0
SAR
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
GEL
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 3
DTO
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 2
FIA
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Leonfortese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REG
0 - 1
LEO
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGR
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEO
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 3
SCO
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |