Gelbison vs Grottaglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 3
GEL
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 0
SSE
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 2
GEL
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GEL
1 - 1
TUR
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BIS
4 - 2
GEL
55%
22%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
GLA
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
FRA
18%
25%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 1
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 0
SSE
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |