Gelbison vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 0
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AGR
0 - 1
GEL
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 3
NOT
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACI
0 - 2
GEL
22%
26%
52%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 0
NIS
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
USV
0 - 0
CIT
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 1
ACP
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
CIT
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |