Gelbison vs FC Sporting Genzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEL
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASP
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 0
GEL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GEL
0 - 0
BRI
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sporting Genzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
0 - 3
BRI
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 0
FSG
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
1 - 0
BAC
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
FSG
0 - 2
MAT
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ISC
2 - 0
FSG
74%
17%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |