Gela vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
GEL
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 4
GEL
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
FCI
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
ASD
32%
22%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USC
0 - 0
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
CIT
47%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
EBO
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |