Gela vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 5
GEL
10%
16%
75%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 3
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
EBO
0 - 1
GEL
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
AEE
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 0
GEL
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCI
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 0
SAN
15%
20%
66%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
PPI
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |