Gefle vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GEF
2 - 0
ORE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HTF
3 - 3
GEF
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GEF
3 - 1
KAR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PIT
1 - 4
GEF
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UME
2 - 1
BKF
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SYL
0 - 1
UME
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 3
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
STO
2 - 1
UME
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UME
0 - 1
HAN
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |