Gefle vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
14º
44
5º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
0 - 1
GEF
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
2 - 1
OIF
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUD
0 - 1
GEF
14%
19%
68%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
4 - 1
GEF
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
0 - 4
VAR
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IKB
0 - 2
ORG
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ORG
1 - 3
DEG
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ORG
6%
15%
79%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OIF
1 - 0
ORG
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORG
3 - 1
ORE
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |