Superettan Round 22

Gefle vs Örgryte analysis

Gefle Örgryte
63 ELO 68
15% Tilt 5.3%
3732º General ELO ranking 1903º
43º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Gefle
25.4%
Draw
34.1%
Örgryte

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Gefle
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
Örgryte
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gefle
-21%
+16%
Örgryte

Points and table prediction

Gefle
Their league position
Örgryte
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
15º
14º
44
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Degerfors IF
55
55
100%
Osters IF
54
54
100%
Landskrona BoIS
49
49
100%
Helsingborgs IF
47
47
100%
Örgryte
44
44
100%
Sandvikens IF
43
43
100%
Trelleborgs FF
42
42
100%
IK Brage
41
41
0%
Utsiktens BK
41
41
0%
Varbergs BoIS
10º
39
39
10º
0%
Orebro SK
11º
39
39
11º
0%
IK Oddevold
12º
36
36
12º
100%
GIF Sundsvall
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Gefle
15º
32
32
14º
0%
Östersunds FK
14º
32
32
15º
0%
Skovde AIK
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gefle
Örgryte
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gefle
Örgryte
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gefle
Gefle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
SKO
Skovde AIK
0 - 1
Gefle
GEF
38%
27%
35%
64 63 1 0
25 Aug. 2024
GEF
Gefle
2 - 1
Osters IF
OIF
22%
24%
54%
63 77 14 +1
22 Aug. 2024
HUD
Huddinge
0 - 1
Gefle
GEF
14%
19%
68%
63 46 17 0
17 Aug. 2024
ORE
Orebro SK
4 - 1
Gefle
GEF
48%
26%
27%
64 67 3 -1
10 Aug. 2024
GEF
Gefle
0 - 4
Varbergs BoIS
VAR
44%
25%
32%
64 65 1 0

Matches

Örgryte
Örgryte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
IKB
IK Brage
0 - 2
Örgryte
ORG
54%
24%
22%
67 72 5 0
26 Aug. 2024
ORG
Örgryte
1 - 3
Degerfors IF
DEG
29%
26%
46%
68 76 8 -1
21 Aug. 2024
BER
IFK Berga
1 - 2
Örgryte
ORG
6%
15%
79%
67 34 33 +1
17 Aug. 2024
OIF
Osters IF
1 - 0
Örgryte
ORG
59%
23%
18%
68 77 9 -1
12 Aug. 2024
ORG
Örgryte
3 - 1
Orebro SK
ORE
43%
26%
32%
67 68 1 +1