Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
15º
14º
23
3º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
32 | 59 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 54 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
IFS
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
VAS
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 0
GEF
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 0
THO
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
SOL
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 1
AFC
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 1
ASS
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
HTF
1 - 1
AFC
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 1
ENK
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |