Geel-Meerhout vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Geel-Meerhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
GEE
33%
25%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GEE
5 - 0
HEI
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GEE
1 - 0
KNO
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EEA
3 - 1
GEE
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GEE
2 - 0
OUD
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OUD
3 - 2
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 2
DEI
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
KNO
0 - 1
EXC
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
GEN
6%
13%
81%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | -1 |