Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16

Global 2-2

GE Bagé vs Lajeadense analysis

GE Bagé Lajeadense
45 ELO 41
-20.1% Tilt -11.3%
6255º General ELO ranking 5556º
241º Country ELO ranking 201º
ELO win probability
49.2%
GE Bagé
26.7%
Draw
24.1%
Lajeadense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
GE Bagé
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.1%
Win probability
Lajeadense
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
GE Bagé
+11%
-7%
Lajeadense

ELO progression

GE Bagé
Lajeadense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

GE Bagé
GE Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2019
LAJ
Lajeadense
1 - 1
GE Bagé
GEB
30%
27%
43%
46 40 6 0
13 Oct. 2019
HOR
12 Horas
0 - 2
GE Bagé
GEB
10%
16%
73%
46 9 37 0
06 Oct. 2019
GEB
GE Bagé
2 - 0
Uniao Harmonia
UHA
74%
16%
9%
46 7 39 0
29 Sep. 2019
GEB
GE Bagé
2 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
25%
27%
48%
44 53 9 +2
14 Sep. 2019
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
1 - 2
GE Bagé
GEB
46%
28%
26%
43 48 5 +1

Matches

Lajeadense
Lajeadense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2019
LAJ
Lajeadense
1 - 1
GE Bagé
GEB
30%
27%
43%
40 46 6 0
17 Oct. 2019
SJO
São José B
1 - 0
Lajeadense
LAJ
40%
23%
37%
41 37 4 -1
10 Oct. 2019
ECA
EC Avenida
1 - 1
Lajeadense
LAJ
56%
25%
20%
41 48 7 0
22 Sep. 2019
LAJ
Lajeadense
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
17%
24%
59%
40 56 16 +1
19 Sep. 2019
GRE
Grêmio B
2 - 0
Lajeadense
LAJ
40%
24%
36%
41 39 2 -1