GE Bagé vs CEF Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PEL
3 - 2
GEB
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
2 - 0
RIO
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
4 - 2
ECJ
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 2
CEF
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |