GE Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
CRU
63%
20%
16%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
GEB
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
GEB
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 2
RIO
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ECJ
4 - 0
CEF
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ECJ
0 - 1
PEL
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |