Gazélec Ajaccio vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SPI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 3
GAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAZ
5 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 3
GAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
NÎM
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 1
ETG
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 2
TFC
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
42%
29%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |