Gazélec Ajaccio vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
GAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
GAZ
2 - 1
EPM
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
GAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LUZ
4 - 0
GAZ
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GAZ
3 - 0
SAE
60%
23%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAE
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
HYE
0 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GAP
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TOU
1 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |