Gazélec Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AUX
2 - 3
GAZ
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 1
PFC
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 3
NÎM
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 0
GAZ
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
GAZ
4 - 2
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOR
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LOR
0 - 0
LHA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ANG
1 - 3
LOR
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
LOR
16%
19%
65%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -2 |