National Round 30

Gazélec Ajaccio vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis

Gazélec Ajaccio Fréjus St-Raphaël
68 ELO 62
-12% Tilt -2%
18442º General ELO ranking 3861º
410º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
51.1%
Gazélec Ajaccio
25.8%
Draw
23%
Fréjus St-Raphaël

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Gazélec Ajaccio
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio
Gazélec Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
VAN
Vannes
3 - 2
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
47%
26%
28%
68 66 2 0
21 Mar. 2012
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
1 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
19%
26%
55%
67 85 18 +1
17 Mar. 2012
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 0
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
LPS
58%
24%
18%
66 59 7 +1
09 Mar. 2012
LUS
Creteil
2 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
39%
28%
33%
67 64 3 -1
06 Mar. 2012
QUE
QRM
0 - 3
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
34%
27%
40%
66 58 8 +1

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2012
SPI
Épinal
4 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
40%
27%
33%
64 61 3 0
24 Mar. 2012
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
3 - 1
Beauvais Oise
ASB
51%
26%
23%
63 61 2 +1
16 Mar. 2012
QUE
QRM
0 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
37%
26%
37%
63 57 6 0
10 Mar. 2012
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
3 - 0
Orléans
ORL
49%
27%
24%
62 62 0 +1
03 Mar. 2012
BAY
Aviron Bayonnais
1 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
26%
27%
47%
62 54 8 0