Gazélec Ajaccio vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
ORL
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 0
GAZ
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GAZ
1 - 0
TFC
19%
26%
54%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SPI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PSG
0 - 0
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 2
DRA
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 3
STR
12%
21%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |