French League U19 Group D Round 23

Gazélec Ajaccio U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis

Gazélec Ajaccio U19 Montpellier U19
31 ELO 41
-2.7% Tilt -7.3%
8403º General ELO ranking 6541º
283º Country ELO ranking 168º
ELO win probability
32.3%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
23.6%
Draw
44%
Montpellier U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44%
Win probability
Montpellier U19
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
-6%
-5%
Montpellier U19

Points and table prediction

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Their league position
Montpellier U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Etienne U19
54
54
100%
Olympique Marseille U19
53
53
100%
Toulouse U19
49
52
90.5%
Montpellier U19
47
50
90.5%
Nice U19
46
46
100%
Ajaccio U19
41
41
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
38
38
100%
Monaco U19
32
35
92.5%
Colomiers U19
33
33
92.5%
Olympique Rovenain U19
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Air Bel U19
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Rodez U19
12º
20
20
12º
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
13º
17
17
13º
100%
Ghisonaccia Prunelli U19
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Montpellier U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Montpellier U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
ABE
Air Bel U19
0 - 4
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
41%
23%
36%
32 31 1 0
16 Mar. 2025
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
3 - 0
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
65%
18%
17%
31 25 6 +1
08 Mar. 2025
MON
Monaco U19
7 - 0
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
57%
21%
23%
33 34 1 -2
16 Feb. 2025
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
1 - 0
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
59%
20%
20%
34 38 4 -1
12 Feb. 2025
NIC
Nice U19
2 - 0
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
57%
21%
22%
35 37 2 -1

Matches

Montpellier U19
Montpellier U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
MON
Montpellier U19
1 - 2
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
47%
25%
28%
41 40 1 0
16 Mar. 2025
ROD
Rodez U19
1 - 4
Montpellier U19
MON
27%
22%
51%
40 29 11 +1
16 Feb. 2025
OLY
Olympique Marseille U19
3 - 1
Montpellier U19
MON
51%
24%
26%
41 41 0 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MON
Montpellier U19
2 - 3
Toulouse U19
TOU
47%
25%
29%
42 39 3 -1
26 Jan. 2025
AJA
Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
27%
24%
49%
41 33 8 +1