French League U19 Group D Round 18

Gazélec Ajaccio U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis

Gazélec Ajaccio U19 Marignane Gignac U19
21 ELO 26
1.5% Tilt -5.1%
8403º General ELO ranking 10092º
283º Country ELO ranking 347º
ELO win probability
29.5%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
21.8%
Draw
48.7%
Marignane Gignac U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48.7%
Win probability
Marignane Gignac U19
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
-3%
-59%
Marignane Gignac U19

Points and table prediction

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Their league position
Marignane Gignac U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
14º
36
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olympique Marseille U19
52
52
100%
Montpellier U19
46
46
100%
Rodez U19
45
45
100%
Monaco U19
40
40
100%
Air Bel U19
40
40
100%
Saint-Etienne U19
39
39
100%
Marignane Gignac U19
36
36
100%
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
36
36
100%
Nice U19
35
35
100%
Toulouse U19
10º
34
34
10º
100%
Ajaccio U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Bastia U19
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Colomiers U19
14º
20
20
13º
100%
Béziers U19
13º
20
20
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Marignane Gignac U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Marignane Gignac U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio U19
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
BAS
Bastia U19
1 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
64%
19%
17%
20 26 6 0
21 Jan. 2024
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Montpellier U19
MON
23%
21%
55%
20 35 15 0
17 Dec. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
0 - 1
Rodez U19
ROD
35%
21%
44%
21 25 4 -1
13 Dec. 2023
AJA
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille U19
OLY
25%
21%
55%
21 33 12 0
03 Dec. 2023
ETI
Saint-Etienne U19
4 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
AJA
76%
14%
10%
22 37 15 -1

Matches

Marignane Gignac U19
Marignane Gignac U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
MGG
Marignane Gignac U19
0 - 0
Saint-Etienne U19
ETI
28%
21%
50%
27 37 10 0
21 Jan. 2024
AJA
Ajaccio U19
0 - 2
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
53%
22%
25%
25 29 4 +2
16 Dec. 2023
MGG
Marignane Gignac U19
2 - 0
Nice U19
NIC
30%
22%
47%
23 33 10 +2
02 Dec. 2023
MON
Monaco U19
0 - 1
Marignane Gignac U19
MGG
83%
10%
7%
22 37 15 +1
26 Nov. 2023
MGG
Marignane Gignac U19
2 - 0
Colomiers U19
COL
26%
23%
52%
20 31 11 +2