Gazélec Ajaccio U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
48%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
14º
8º
36
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 2
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
ROD
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
OLY
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ETI
4 - 1
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MGG
0 - 0
ETI
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
MGG
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MGG
2 - 0
NIC
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
MGG
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MGG
2 - 0
COL
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |