Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 3
GAV
20%
23%
58%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
GAV
7 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
GAV
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GAV
4 - 1
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GAV
4 - 0
MAS
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SCA
0 - 2
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
DER
4 - 1
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCA
3 - 2
MON
24%
26%
51%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MPO
3 - 0
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
1 - 2
SCA
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |