Follonica Gavorrano vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+151%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
2 - 3
GAV
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SGP
1 - 1
GAV
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
1 - 2
GAV
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GAV
1 - 3
FOR
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 0
SGP
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
ORV
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ORV
3 - 0
ASS
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |