Follonica Gavorrano vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
10º
4º
43
2º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
GAV
22%
26%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
3 - 3
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
GAV
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
4 - 1
ORV
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ghivizzano Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GHI
1 - 3
PIA
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
USP
1 - 0
GHI
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
ARZ
20%
23%
56%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
GHI
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
PRO
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |