Gaúcho vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 0
GAU
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
VER
7 - 1
GAU
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GAU
0 - 2
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GAU
1 - 0
GLO
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
GAU
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 3
CAN
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
NOV
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 2
SCI
8%
17%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | -1 |