Gaúcho vs EC Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GAU
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GAU
2 - 3
PAN
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
PAS
3 - 1
GAU
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PAN
0 - 0
GAU
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
GAU
1 - 0
RIO
23%
25%
53%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
EC Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ECM
0 - 0
RIO
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 0
ECM
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ECM
6 - 1
CAC
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ECM
2 - 4
ACP
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 2
ECM
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |