Gateshead vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 2
GAT
28%
25%
46%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 2
DOV
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GUL
2 - 2
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
GAT
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
GAT
3 - 3
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
0 - 3
WAR
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 2
WAR
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WAR
3 - 0
RAD
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
KEN
3 - 0
WAR
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -3 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 0
EXE
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +4 |