National League Round 42

Gateshead vs Torquay United analysis

Gateshead Torquay United
51 ELO 49
9.5% Tilt -9%
4207º General ELO ranking 4472º
117º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Gateshead
21.1%
Draw
17.5%
Torquay United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
Gateshead
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.5%
Win probability
Torquay United
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gateshead
-19%
+14%
Torquay United

ELO progression

Gateshead
Torquay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
LIN
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
44%
27%
30%
52 50 2 0
25 Mar. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
0 - 3
Macclesfield Town
MAC
53%
24%
24%
53 52 1 -1
19 Mar. 2016
WEL
Welling United
0 - 1
Gateshead
GAT
20%
24%
55%
53 39 14 0
15 Mar. 2016
BRA
Braintree Town
0 - 0
Gateshead
GAT
44%
28%
29%
53 55 2 0
12 Mar. 2016
GAT
Gateshead
0 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
39%
26%
35%
53 58 5 0

Matches

Torquay United
Torquay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2016
GUL
Torquay United
0 - 1
Eastleigh
EAS
26%
25%
49%
48 56 8 0
26 Mar. 2016
DOV
Dover Athletic
5 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
64%
21%
14%
49 58 9 -1
19 Mar. 2016
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Southport
SOU
51%
25%
24%
48 47 1 +1
15 Mar. 2016
GUL
Torquay United
0 - 0
FC Halifax Town
HAL
34%
25%
41%
48 53 5 0
12 Mar. 2016
ALD
Aldershot Town
0 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
40%
27%
33%
48 47 1 0