Gateshead vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
RUN
2 - 1
GAT
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ILK
3 - 1
GAT
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GAT
2 - 0
LEE
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GAT
3 - 2
ASH
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
ASH
3 - 1
GAT
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
RUN
2 - 1
GAT
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LEE
2 - 3
RUN
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 2
RUN
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
AFC
3 - 1
RUN
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 1
RUN
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |