Gateshead vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 2
NUN
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 2
WRE
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 1
GAT
32%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
WRE
1 - 1
GAT
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
GAT
3 - 2
GRI
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NUN
0 - 0
KID
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
KID
1 - 1
WOK
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
KID
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
ALD
0 - 1
KID
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
MAC
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |