National League Round 6

Gateshead vs Grimsby Town analysis

Gateshead Grimsby Town
54 ELO 49
-0.8% Tilt 20.2%
4340º General ELO ranking 3096º
125º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Gateshead
24%
Draw
21.1%
Grimsby Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
Gateshead
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
Grimsby Town
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gateshead
-14%
+11%
Grimsby Town

ELO progression

Gateshead
Grimsby Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gateshead
Gateshead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2011
BAR
Barrow
1 - 2
Gateshead
GAT
35%
26%
40%
53 51 2 0
23 Aug. 2011
SOU
Southport
1 - 3
Gateshead
GAT
32%
23%
45%
53 47 6 0
20 Aug. 2011
GAT
Gateshead
1 - 1
Kettering Town
KET
55%
24%
21%
53 49 4 0
16 Aug. 2011
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 0
Mansfield Town
MAN
43%
26%
32%
52 52 0 +1
13 Aug. 2011
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
2 - 3
Gateshead
GAT
54%
23%
23%
51 57 6 +1

Matches

Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2011
GRI
Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
38%
28%
34%
50 59 9 0
23 Aug. 2011
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Cambridge United
CAM
53%
24%
23%
50 49 1 0
20 Aug. 2011
NEW
Newport County
0 - 0
Grimsby Town
GRI
64%
21%
16%
50 57 7 0
16 Aug. 2011
BRA
Braintree Town
5 - 0
Grimsby Town
GRI
57%
24%
19%
50 58 8 0
13 Aug. 2011
GRI
Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
43%
26%
32%
51 55 4 -1