Garw Athletic vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garw Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
DIN
5 - 0
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ATG
0 - 4
GOY
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
ATG
0 - 3
BFC
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
NFC
4 - 0
ATG
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ATG
0 - 3
TAF
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
TON
2 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 4
MAE
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GWY
0 - 2
BAR
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
NFC
1 - 2
BAR
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |