Garriguella A vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garriguella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
GAR
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
4 - 2
VIL
49%
21%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 0
MAR
18%
20%
63%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
5 - 2
GAR
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BEG
2 - 0
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
BEG
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEG
3 - 2
FOR
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
6 - 0
BEG
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEG
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |