Gares vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 0
GAR
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GAR
0 - 1
CDB
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 1
GAR
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 2
AZK
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COR
2 - 0
GAR
55%
25%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 2
CAN
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BET
1 - 3
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
BUR
34%
28%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
MUR
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
PAM
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |