Gares vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
GAR
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
INJ
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 0
GAR
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 0
CDI
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 2
GAR
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
AOI
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 0
CDS
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
CDC
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
4 - 2
INJ
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 3
CDC
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |