Gareji vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
85.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.2%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
GAR
2 - 1
TBI
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
GAR
3 - 3
SPA
16%
19%
64%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
GAR
2 - 0
CHI
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
BAK
10%
14%
75%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +5 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
GAR
1 - 2
ALG
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DTB
0 - 1
LOK
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LOK
2 - 0
FTK
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAB
4 - 0
LOK
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
LOK
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
LOK
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |