Gareji vs Sioni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
GAR
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
GAR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
4 - 4
WIT
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GAR
1 - 2
GOR
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sioni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
LOK
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SIO
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
DIN
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 2
SIO
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |