Gardeny vs Alfarras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gardeny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 5
GAR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GAR
6 - 1
AFL
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 2
GAR
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 1
COR
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 4
GAR
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
7 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
4 - 2
BJC
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 3
ALM
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AFL
1 - 8
ALF
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 3
ALF
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |