Gap vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
GAP
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GAP
1 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 3
GAP
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GAP
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EPM
1 - 4
GAP
20%
25%
56%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
AND
0 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
3 - 1
CAB
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |