Gap vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 1
GAP
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 1
UJA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 1
GAP
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 2
FRE
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASB
1 - 1
GAP
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
HYE
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAE
4 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HYE
4 - 1
LEP
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
HYE
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HYE
3 - 1
BEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |