Gap vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
5 - 0
GAP
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
GAP
2 - 3
CAN
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
GAP
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
GAP
4 - 0
BAY
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
FCR
2 - 0
GAP
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 0
PFC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
NIO
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 0
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIO
64%
23%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
NIO
0 - 2
CAN
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |