Gama vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 2
CEI
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BSE
2 - 2
GAM
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 0
VIT
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
GAM
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
GAM
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 2
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
DOM
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
DOM
2 - 1
LUZ
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |