Gama vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 1
GUA
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GAM
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
GAM
5 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 2
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
4 - 2
DOM
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
5 - 2
BAN
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 1
CFZ
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEI
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |