Gama vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
GAM
43%
24%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
5 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
GAM
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
CEI
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
LUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |