Wales U19s vs Poland U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SVN
3 - 0
WLS
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
5 - 1
WLS
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
WLS
1 - 2
NLD
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SMR
0 - 2
WLS
9%
13%
78%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 2
WLS
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
POL
0 - 0
CHE
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ISR
1 - 0
POL
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
POL
79%
14%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
POL
1 - 4
SRB
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
KAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |